{"id":644,"date":"2019-10-29T08:00:03","date_gmt":"2019-10-29T08:00:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.dexterzhuang.com\/?p=644"},"modified":"2023-04-29T02:01:02","modified_gmt":"2023-04-29T09:01:02","slug":"how-to-take-control-and-make-better-decisions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.dexterzhuang.com\/2019\/10\/29\/how-to-take-control-and-make-better-decisions\/","title":{"rendered":"How to Take Control and Make Better Decisions: The Intuitive Framework That NASA, Ancient Philosophers, and Psychologists Have in Common"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Say goodbye to the era of defining career growth as climbing a stable corporate ladder. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a recent LinkedIn survey, Millennials are twice as likely<\/a> to switch jobs vs Gen X in the first 5 years after graduating college. And alongside major shifts in technology and business practices is growing perceived danger in the workforce. 77% of Americans<\/a> in a Monster survey said they believed there\u2019s a threat to their current job including new management, toxic boss or work environments, and new skills being demanded in the industry. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

So how does one navigate their career in a world hurtling towards uncertainty and complexity?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Plenty of resources are available for helping you pick a linear career path. But if the above trends are a crystal ball into the future, you\u2019re bound to have multiple career transitions through your life (potentially into risky, unknown territory!) which requires a whole new set of decision-making tools for your career. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

You may have heard of a few frameworks that have gained popularity in the media: costs vs benefits, Buffett\u2019s Circle of Competence<\/a>, Bezos’ Regret Minimization Framework<\/a>, and the Eisenhower Box<\/a> \u2014just to name a few examples. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The framework I\u2019m going to share with you today has been used by NASA mission planners, psychologists, and military officials and has roots in ancient Greek and Buddhist philosophy. It\u2019s one typically used for organizational strategy and project management, but it\u2019s also helped me and others make better career and life decisions. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

This tool is called the Knowns and Unknowns framework. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NASA at one point used Knowns and Unknowns to evaluate new space missions. In a 2003 presentation<\/a>, we can see how NASA employed the tool to assess the risks of a Space Shuttle return flight. Their goal was to de-risk their project by shifting more risks from the unknown into the known territory. One year earlier, Donald Rumsfeld, the US Secretary of Defense at the time, even made a quip<\/a> that brought the little-known framework into the public limelight during a press conference about the decision to invade Iraq: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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There are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns- the ones we don’t know we don’t know.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Knowns and Unknowns, at its core, is a problem-solving tool for complex situations. And what else is navigating one\u2019s career these days other than the sum of many complex decisions? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In my career so far\u2014like many Millennials\u2014I\u2019ve already made numerous transitions such as switching jobs, expanding my responsibilities, and making major lifestyle choices. Knowns and Unknowns has been a trusted companion at each of these transition points. Don\u2019t leave home without it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

What is the Knowns and Unknowns Framework?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Knowns and Unknowns is a knowledge matrix that helps you surface what you know and don\u2019t know about a problem. Its power comes from how it incorporates assumptions about risk and uncertainty. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Using the tool, you separate what you know into four quadrants: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\n\nEach of these quadrants is associated with a unique understanding and awareness of the risk in your situation:\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n